Roundup 5-24-2013
Hillsborough Transportation – Life in the Slow Lane
This week the politicians of Hillsborough County and the municipalities therein met to address an issue that, based on the outcome of the meeting, apparently arose out of the blue – transportation. After much hoopla, they determined that transportation is important.
Hey, that’s a start. Anything else?
Well, that is suitably vague. If by that they mean that a transportation system should connect areas of activity so people can get where they want to go and not promote a sprawling mess, great. If they mean they are going to continue with the sprawl-centered policies of the County, not so great.
So what was proposed?
So with years and years of underinvestment in the transportation in a county with clearly identifiable nodes of activity which conveniently are not that far from each other and at least a month’s notice of the “summit,” the leaders of Hillsborough County could not say what should be connected and/or how they should be connected? (We bet many of the young professionals who leave could tell them.)
So what did the participants have to say? The Mayor brought his best effusively noncommittal comments:
We’re all in, too. Just one question, all in for doing what exactly? Maybe someone else can help us:
It is reasonable to know what you are going to do before you work out how to pay for it (unlike the 2010 referendum). Too bad no one apparently was willing to say what the “it” should be, which, in fact, does mean there is somewhat of a mystery.
One thing we do know:
Interestingly, we actually agree with that assessment – at least the timing. But, at this point, nothing has been put on the table. On the other hand, because it seems no one is actually willing to be the first person to propose something concrete, there is no way there can be a referendum in 2014 that would have a reasonable chance of succeeding.
Maybe the lack of willingness to get to the point arises from this persistent myth about the 2010 referendum:
The 2010 vote split largely along the city boundary, with Tampa supporting it.
This is the map of results which actually show the real results. The support was near the vaguely planned rail route, which happened to be in the city, though it lost in many precincts in the city and won in county precincts near its path. That actually indicates that, if people think they are paying for something that will never benefit them, they will likely not support it. Which makes this a more accurate reading of the lessons from 2010:
So true. Maybe this time around the politicians and planners will actually be concerned about the entire county and provide a plan that addresses it, even if it is a staged execution. Of course, none of that will happen if the politicians don’t propose something, anything other than just subsidizing sprawl (see Hillsborough County Commission.)
The headlines of both the Times and Tribune articles referred to the meeting attendants as leaders. Maybe they should start leading and say what they would like to see.
The fact is this discussion transit has been going on since at least the 1980’s. We have already lost a couple of generations of talent to delay. From the meeting, it looks like the Hillsborough leaders are fine with losing another, though we are open to being surprised. (And they are supposed to create an innovation destination?)
Transportation – Wow, You Mean You Can Ride a Boat?
While the local leaders we unable to think of (or too timid to propose) any specific ideas on transit, this week someone else officially proposed an alternative means of transportation – a ferry.
The proposal website is here.
What will it cost the taxpayer?
Ferries operate all over the place, but not here (unless you are going from Ft. De Soto to Egmont Key). We have no idea if the proposal’s numbers actually work out (apparently the MPO studied it the concept – though not this specific proposal – and, according to them, there is some potential), but the idea appears at first blush to have some merit. It should certainly be considered, especially if the federal government will fund the infrastructure. On the other hand, something not to be considered is this:
“I think this has got some sex appeal to it,” Buckhorn said.
Huh? It is a ferry not a trip into space. Sex appeal has nothing to do with it, especially for all the commuters that ride ferries every day around the world.
One thing that comes to mind though – it would seem like the project requires a lot of parking in the South County area for commuters taking the ferry. If this project happens, is there just going to be a big parking lot or will the County actually do something forward thinking about the hub of activity they are creating in the South County?
One other thing: We have no problem with the idea of ferries. On the other hand, it has to be remembered that this would only be a very small part of what should be an integrated transportation system that involves real, land based transit. Don’t think that a ferry will fix what is broken. It is only a small piece.
HART/PSTA – Bring On the Study
We had previously noted that the HART Board has asked the Governor to veto the second study of how to make HART and PSTA more efficient. We also noted that PSTA was in favor of the second study. In a Times article regarding what the Governor did and did not veto, we learned:
Good. Now let’s get on with it, and, given the opposition of the HART Board to looking at ways to save taxpayer money while providing better service, we still think the entire process needs outside oversight.
Channelside – Back to the Beginning
After much hype (and not much detail) about the Liberty Channelside proposal for the Channelside complex, then some apparent fireworks during negotiations, then apologies for the mysterious fireworks, the whole thing came to naught this week.
But the board was done. Members voted unanimously to kill the deal.
How could they scuttle a sale that wasn’t finished, that wasn’t even ready for them to consider yet?
So what was the logic of using this maneuver?
And
and
This is all fine by us. It is nice to have proposals, but the whole Channelside saga needs to be fixed once and for all. It is ok to wait until we get the right project.
Economic Development – Crashing Out of Boot Camp
There was a story in the Times this week about a proposed start up boot camp.
It was all systems go in March. But Founder Institute never launched.
We do not decide who participates in the Founders Institute, but they had issues here. It is fine to talk about developing a start up culture and all, but it is also interesting to have an outsider give an independent opinion of how you are doing. This evaluation did not go so well.
One alternative explanation was offered:
Maybe, but we have a hard time believing that the Tampa Bay area has vastly more programs than areas like Seattle or Denver, that have Founders Institute programs. (You can see all the locations of Founders Institute programs here.)
As the Times column said:
Yes it is a good lesson. Yes, the goals are the same. However, you cannot discount the possibility that, while we are moving forward, other areas are still moving forward faster, leaving us farther behind.
Economic Development – Chile
There was news that the Governor is going on a trade mission to Chile.
The news coverage was strangely devoid of Tampa Bay participants. Maybe they are going but just aren’t reported. We really don’t know, but the lack of mention is interesting. (Maybe it does not have the sex appeal of Brazil.)
While Chile’s growth slowed in the first quarter, Chile is one of the strongest economies in Latin America. (See here, here, and here) It is hard for the Tampa Bay area to be a gateway to Latin America without strong connections to all its major economies.
List of the Week IA
This week we have two lists of the week, but they are allegedly for the same thing.
The first list is Business Insider’s List of 20 Most Innovative Cities in the US. It is basically a list of the highest number of patents per 1000 residents, so it favors some university towns and small cities with research institutions, as well as the usual suspects.
First place goes to San Jose, followed by Burlington, VT; Rochester, MN; Corvallis, OR; Boulder, CO; Poughkeepsie, NY; Ann Arbor, MI; San Francisco; Austin; Santa Cruz, CA; Seattle; Raleigh; Rochester, NY; Durham, NC; Trenton, NJ; Sheboygan, WI; San Diego; Albany, NY; Ithaca, NY; and Minneapolis. Because of the calculation, some big cities have a hard time getting on the list but have a lot of patents and get an honorable mention: NYC, LA, Boston, and Chicago.
Of course, large or small, Florida is shut out.
List of the Week IB
Our second list is Techieboom.com’s The 5 Most Innovative US Cities of 2013 (cached here ) In no particular order they are Seattle, San Francisco, Austin, Boulder, and Boston.
No Florida.
Don’t let the recent more positive news about the local economy lull you into complacency.
Roundup 5-17-2013
Economic Development – Speaking of Disruption
Last week, in discussing an article on Miami as “America’s Next Start-up City,” we discussed the concept of creative disruption. Coincidentally, the issue arose locally in the context of developing the health care industry in the Tampa Bay area.
Indeed it can. However, can the Tampa Bay area, where the issue of USF and a teaching hospital still can’t be worked out, overcome its own culture to accept such disruption? And can you succeed with an environment where you only have disruption in one industry while living in the past in all other ways or do you need to create a comprehensive culture where disruption is embraced?
To attract and retain people who will find these innovative solutions (which are often multidisciplinary), you need to create an environment which attracts them and in which they will thrive. (Like it or not, that requires real transit, not just buses, and urban development. You can hardly claim to be a hub of innovation if your public policy is living in the 1970’s.) If you look at innovation hubs, like Boston, NYC, the San Francisco Bay area – even Austin or Atlanta (not to mention places like London, Tokyo, and Berlin) – they are cities of broad ranges of innovation in many fields. For real innovation through disruption, there needs to be cross-pollination and an environment of openness to new ideas. It cannot be isolated.
Interestingly, the speaker made another point which really gets to the Tampa Bay area:
As far as we can tell, that applies almost across the board in the Tampa Bay area. Simple improvements are held out as innovations, while elsewhere real innovations in politics, transportation, arts, music, science, technology, design, and development occur. Incrementalism is not innovation.
We support developing our biomed sector, and we are happy the idea of disruption is actually being discussed here. We are all for transformational techniques and technologies. However, we understand that we need a wholesale opening of our culture – especially politically.
If you create an app to sell buggy-whips, you still have not accomplished anything.
Built Environment – The Sprawl Strikes Back
We have been critical of Hillsborough County’s love of sprawl. We still are. For a long time, the east part of the County has supported politicians that support sprawl and poor transportation planning. Well,
If nothing else, the community has the input of elections. It is unfortunate the Commission has its hands tied by what its predecessors did (one of whom is still on the Commission and who happened to be the main advocate of the Estuary/Bass Pro Shops deal). Yes, it is poor planning. Yes, it is unfortunate. However, you get what you vote for. On the other hand, there is this:
Too bad the entire impact fee system in Hillsborough County is outdated and inadequate to help support the sprawl policies. Those Bloomingdale residents sure could use the $6+ million going to the Estuary/Bass Pro Shops developer.
Transportation – What Should Be On That Confounded Bridge?
The plans for replacing the Tampa-bound span of the Howard Frankland Bridge continue.
Ok. What are the options?
Well, FDOT should have fixed the bottleneck a long time ago – at least when they did the Pinellas side. But, setting that aside, that is the cost for a no-frills four lane bridge.
Logically, if you add four more lanes to allow a few people to pay really high tolls and not really relieve most people who will sit in traffic, the price is double.
Also logically, a rail-capable bridge would be more expensive. Then there is this:
We thought it was the Department of Transportation, not the Department of Cars, so why the disincentive to creating transportation options? Why penalize locals for planning ahead. If there is a statutory reason, we would like to hear it and why it cannot change. Do they make locals pay in other toll road projects? (See here)
Regardless, we favor the last option. We need to have connections other than cars, and this corridor is the best place to put that connection. It is well past time that this area actually started planning for the future rather than just maintaining the status quo. Yes, it is more expensive, but:
Waiting will just increase the cost. We have already increased the cost by waiting so long. It is time to invest in our infrastructure. There is really no reason not to do it now. Even if buses run along the path for a while, it will allow rail to be built in the future.
In other news from FDOT:
We understand that idea of toll lanes to speed traffic but 1) we do not have HOV lanes because our interstates have long been neglected and 2) we have a problem with variable tolls. By allowing uncapped, variable tolls, it is entirely possible that the average driver is going to be priced out of the lanes, which seems an odd way to spend taxpayer money, especially if there are no transit options. Of course, FDOT could surprise us.
Transportation – The Selmon Connector Moves Forward
It seems the Selmon Connector is back on schedule.
That is good. The idea is only about 30 years late, but at least it is getting done.
Interestingly,
Imagine that, a fixed toll so drivers know whether it is worth it or not to use the road.
Transportation – HART/PSTA, Whatever
We noticed that the Tribune ran a guest opinion piece from one of the Tea Party members of the HART board regarding the HART/PSTA issue. Here’s what she had to say:
Um, it was HART that rejected the study’s findings, not unnamed “politicians” or PSTA or anyone other than HART. (For instance see here, here, here, and here) We have no idea what the unnamed “special interests” are either.
Its seems her real opposition to studying whether money can be saved and better service provided is that she does not want rail. (She apparently thinks it is a UN plot after all. ) But even setting that aside, it is hard to square her other claims with what has been reported. First, as the Tribune reported, HART does not have funding for its second Metrorapid line, let alone four more. Moreover, as the Tribune reported, HART does not have money to replace older buses. Additionally, HART has already cut services and raised fares, (see Tribune report and Times report) though maybe they will not have to do the same this year. (See Tribune report that HART may luck out because property tax revenue may increase enough to add some service and also Creative Loafing) Even the resident bus expert thinks there is a problem with HART’s future plans:
While many of you might think this is all problematic, the following may explain why the Tea Party Board member thinks it’s all good:
“She simply does not want everyone to pay for a service that benefits a few.” What a pithy philosophy. We’ll go with that. All roads should be toll roads – why should we pay for the road to your house when we never use it? We haven’t had a fire in while, so why should we pay for the fire department to help you? All schools should charge tuition – why should we pay for your kids to get educated? (And that includes the full cost of that degree – no, not the tuition, the full cost – this Board member got from USF. Why did she attend a taxpayer subsidized school?)
It is difficult to defend HART’s obsessive attempts to not examine how to better serve the taxpayer, and the guest opinion piece does not really address that actual issue except in the vaguest rhetorical terms. Then again, given this HART Board member’s apparent priorities, that is not a surprise. The real question is why the Hillsborough County Commissioners put her on the HART Board in the first place and if, knowing what they now know, they would do it again.
Transportation – Do We Want a Ferry?
Over the years there have been a number of proposals floated for a ferry in the area. Frankly, it is a bit odd that there is not one, but there isn’t. Now:
Ok, what does it cost?
Since we have not actually seen the proposal, we can only speak generally. Generally, we are fine with a ferry. We are not sure that the government should pay for it. On the other hand, in the greater scheme of things, $22 million is not really that much for a transportation project – if it works. The bigger question is whether it will attract passengers and, given our lack of proper transit, how any passengers get around when they land? How will the lack of real transit limit the success of the potential ferry?
We are curious to see the actual details.
Downtown Tampa – Same Ole Decision Making
Last week, we discussed the apartment tower proposed for the lot behind the library and the objections to it, which we think are mostly without basis. In our discussion, we noted the skywalk issue and that it was not an insurmountable problem. Then the Tribune ran a column that hints at what the real problem is. We are not going to get into the whole article, partly because the arguments against the project are quite weak, especially this:
No.
(Just to be clear this is the lot in question.) The opposition to the idea of a tower in that location is misplaced. Putting a tower with street interaction on that lot makes perfect sense because it is now an uninviting turn lane that does nothing to enhance the “cultural district.”
It should also be noted that the failure to build a dense city leads to more sprawl, not less. If one wants to protect the environment, one of the best ways to do so is to build a denser city with good transit so there is no reason to pave the entire county. Of course, for all the time this opponent was in office we did not have or develop density nor did we have good mass transit (we still don’t). Always saying “no” can be counterproductive.
What was the Mayor’s reaction?
“She’s doing exactly what she has done for 28 years — attempting to kill any good project,” he said.
Instead of actually explaining why the project is good, this is basically a personal attack, which also counterproductive. And there is this, from the former County Commissioner and City Councilwoman, which is more about process and personality than the actual project:
So do we, which is why we think the proposed idea is ok.
On the other hand, there is some truth here. It is not effective to just announce a project and expect everyone to fall in line and approve it. While Tampa has a “strong mayor” system of government, the Mayor does not govern alone. If he believes the project is key, he needs to sell it – to be entrepreneurial. He has not done that. (For instance see here) And he needs to communicate better.
On the other hand, it is not ok to reject a plan just because the Mayor may have done a poor job selling it. If it is good, it should be approved. So far, we have not heard any good objection to this plan. In fact, many of those complaining now started off supporting the project. (see here and here) If there is an isolated issue like the skywalk, work it out and move forward. (And if politicians don’t like each other let them play a winner-take-all game of cribbage and get back to work.)
Everything about this process is business as usual in the City government. The DNA has not changed. And you wonder why young professionals just leave for other cities and don’t look back?
Channelside – Show Us the Money
The recent, highly hyped offer to take over the Channelside complex went before the Port Authority Board and promptly ran into reality. (And we are not even going to get into the very odd “decorum” issue. See here and here)
We have absolutely no problem with the Port Authority’s position. It is well past time to get this whole thing right. If the new guys really want to fix up the Channelside complex, especially if they are asking for public money, they can commit fully. And not only that:
“But if we give up our rights then we have no control. It just continues the death spiral.”
We have no problem with that position. And this:
We agree with that, too. We are glad to see a businesslike approach from the Board. In many ways more importantly:
Exactly. We still do not know what the real plans are, so why sign off on anything yet? We do not really care if this group or another group takes over the complex, particularly since we have not seen real plans from anyone. We care that Channelside is finally laid out and run properly so it enhances the area. There have already been many mistakes made. Thankfully, it seems that the Port Board may have learned from those mistakes. Hopefully, they will do it right this time.
Trader Joe’s – Not Yet
Last week we discussed all the rumors about Trader Joe’s in South Tampa and noted that there are plans for Orlando and Miami. Well,
You can see the urban oasis in where they are opening in Palm Beach Gardens here.
So what exactly is the issue in South Tampa? Maybe Trader Joe’s is about to announce a location or maybe not. Based on this map of wealthiest zip codes, if they are having trouble with their targeted site, maybe they should consider more options in the area.
List of the Week
Our list this week is the Men’s Health Best and Worst Places to Exercise (also known as the most active and laziest cities list) This list ranks 100 locations with number one being the best place to exercise.
The top 10 are: Portland, OR; Boise, ID; Salt Lake City, UT; Minneapolis, MN; St. Paul, MN; Denver, CO; Seattle, WA; Madison, WI; Oakland, CA; and Aurora, CO.
The Florida cities on the list are St. Pete at 45th, Miami at 49th, Jacksonville at 64th, Tampa at 70th, and Orlando at 76th. For a warm and supposedly active state, that is not very good.
Roundup 5-10-2013
City Tax – About that Plan B
We have noted over the last year of so that the Mayor of Tampa seems to have had only one idea for transit – getting the legislature to give cities the power to raise their own taxes, which he wanted to pay for transit (Though he never gave specifics). The logic being that the 2010 Hillsborough Transportation Referendum would have passed in the City if Tampa, though it lost countywide. We have noted a number of problems with the tax – a major one being that if the City had its own tax, it would be hard to get whatever system was built out into the county, which would be necessary for any decent system. However, on a much more basic level, there was another problem – the fact that it was very unlikely that the legislature would pas such a bill in the first place. Well,
Entirely predictable. As we asked many times, what is Plan B?
While disappointed, Buckhorn said “you can absolutely count” on the city trying again next year.
Ok, well that has little chance of working, so maybe the City should try Plan C. In any event, the article then tells us this:
That is all nice but, while a couple of the items deal with transportation, they are not transit so not really relevant.
More importantly, the article tells us the Mayor is relying of relationships with people in Washington. That is fine. Relationships are necessary. However, even more important are actual plans, and the Mayor has not said one word about the actual transportation system he would like to build. Yes, he has said “rail” but where? How?
The decision to bet on the City Tax may have just been ill-advised or it may have been political calculation (Expend little political capital while waiting for the legislature to pass a flawed idea, and blame them every time it does not pass.) Whatever it was, it is not leadership. Leadership is to propose an actual plan to fix problems, work out funding in the real word, and sell it to the community. We are already behind. We don’t have time to waste.
HART/PSTA – A Little Progress, But Just a Little
This week, the HART board acted again. No, it did not give a comprehensive plan to fix transit in Hillsborough County. No, it did not address its manifold funding issues.
No surprise that HART opposed the studies. Clearly the Board fears that any more studies might show that the origin study was valid. Then again, they might not. Without a study, we won’t know.
Did the HART board give any ostensible rationale for rejecting a study?
The study issue is not an issue of local control, it is an issue of which locals get to control. The reality is that it should be an issue of having the best transit service for the lowest cost serving the Tampa Bay area, but we know that is not the goal of HART’s board. Though there was the little bit of sensible talk:
In sharp contrast to the HART board, the PSTA head put out the following:
Amazing how the Boards can view the same idea so differently. It also still amazes us that Hillsborough County is so scared of regionalism, especially because of this:
This is a totally rational idea. Why is the HART board so scared of a study that might reveal additional rational ideas?
Pinellas Transit Referendum – Still Alive
You may remember that some Pinellas County Commissioners were sued ostensibly because of term limit issues but actually to interfere with the Pinellas Transit Referendum. Well, the judge dismissed the case, noting:
Or maybe the opponents of the referendum should make their case against the referendum and let the voters decide, like people who believe in democracy would do. There is no guarantee anything will pass.
Downtown Tampa – The Straz, the Library, the Tower, and the Council
This week the apartment tower proposed for the lot behind the library in downtown Tampa came up for a hearing before the City Council. Before the hearing it was reported that some are worried about the fact that the portion of the skywalk between the Poe Garage and the Straz that connects to the Straz may be removed. But then that concern morphed:
The skywalk may be an issue, but it is nothing insurmountable. Maybe a continuance will help people work on that issue. Frankly, we don’t care about the continuance.
On the other hand, we do care about the substance of the debate. The discussion showed that opposition to the project has a much more fundamental basis than the skywalk:
We are not talking the Sears Tower. In reality, the project is not that big, and the footprint, which is what pedestrians will see, is definitely not that big. As for the tower’s compatibility institutions nearby like the Straz center, please note the locations of performing arts centers in Charlotte, Atlanta, Denver, Phoenix (symphony – hard to see because it behind the big building, and San Diego – two different buildings (symphony and theatre) in the middle of downtown. It seems that all these institutions can deal with having towers near them. Anything else?
The only way the proposed building is going to be a barrier for people going from the Straz to the museums and Curtis Hixon Park and back is if they have to jump over it. (They don’t)
Maybe the Times’ editorial against the building, which had nothing to do with the skywalk, can explain the argument against the building.
(We find it interesting that the Times says that the InVision plan can be used to justify almost any new development. If that is the case, what exactly was the point of it?)
First, the proposed building is not a “big box.” Second, InVision Tampa actually has a building in the lot in a rendering on page 58 (though that may have been wired into the report).

From the InVision Tampa report, page 58
More importantly, the Times’ position that the building to too big (it is downtown) or cuts off the water is inaccurate. We have shown that performing arts centers are often right next to large towers. As seen in this picture, the proposed building is not even on the water – in fact, the Straz has a parking lot to the left of the building that is on the water. The truth is that if anything cuts off the water, it is the Straz and the Tampa Museum of Art which pinches the sight lines to the river (To be clear, we are not objecting to the Straz or the Museum.)
The rendering shows that the building is set back from the riverfront and the axis between the Tampa Museum and the Straz is unobstructed. In fact, there is a wide sidewalk connecting the two that does not even touch the lot of the proposed building (though it does go by the Straz’s riverfront parking lot.) There is no barrier. What is a barrier is the barren streetscape that now exists.
Here is another angle of the proposal:
The location of this building is fine (though we would like to see a final plan of what they really propose to build). The proposed scale is also fine.
As far as we can tell, the arguments about preserving the “arts district” have no merit. The building does not interfere with the riverfront. Moreover, the height of building is not really an issue for pedestrians. What is an issue for pedestrians is what is on the street – what the pedestrian experiences. If the building addresses the sidewalk properly, pedestrians will not notice the height. (You can walk down Fifth avenue in NYC and not really even notice the building heights.) If the building ignores the sidewalk (like most of the library), it is a barrier to pedestrians.
Deal with the skywalk issue and move on. The reality is that the status quo is not acceptable (nor are the petty politics that often get injected into issues like this one), and the concept of the project as proposed would be a vast improvement.
Downtown Tampa – Channelside
The folks that want to take over the Channelside complex had a public meeting this week. First, we give them credit for having a public meeting. What happened there?
Ok. And:
That is all very nice, if not particularly specific, except for wanting public assistance. Before anything goes forward, there needs to be more detail.
On the other hand, there was this:
Really, the City is spending all this money to two-way streets in downtown to make them pedestrian friendly and they want the City to spend money making streets one way? What is the point?
Our bottom line on this has not changed. We think there needs to be real detail before the Port approves anything. Moreover, we still think just completely starting over on the lot should be considered.
Downtown Tampa – Senior Apartments
It was announced this week that there is another project for downtown Tampa.
It will look something like this:
It is kind of bland, but so be it. At least, unlike the building under construction in the Encore project right now, this building does not seem to have a surface parking lot. On the other hand, it does not seem to have any street retail even though it is right next to the Marion Transit center. While we realize the transit center is not really a major facility, it could use a little store. Also, the garage opens to the sidewalk.
We do not find this project overly exciting, but it is not horrible either. It is filler. Hopefully, some of the bigger projects that have much more press will also get built.
Trader Joes – Tampa Following from Behind
Last week there was an article in the Times regarding rumors of Trader Joe’s coming to Tampa and issues arising therefrom.
The purchase option does not list a price or specifically name Trader Joe’s.
This could all be a smokescreen or it could be part of this:
Maybe they have a deal or maybe they do not want to pay what people are asking. While all this goes on Trader Joes already has stores in Naples, Sarasota and Naples. Moreover,
Surprise. Lagging again, though hopefully not for long. Clearly they should have asked for money from the County Commission.
From the Backlot
We learned this week that:
Makes sense. We need someone to work on this.
We hope so. It was just announced that another studio will be built in Atlanta, joining a number of other major projects. Miami already is the scene of numerous series, projects, and Spanish language media. Orlando has Disney and other companies. Quickly perusing a list of companies from the Florida Film Commission, listings for Tampa Bay area companies are sparse at best. Despite some recent projects, we are way behind.
America’s Next Start-Up City?
We found this article and accompanying video about a city aspiring to be America’s next start-up city on the Atlantic website. No, it is not the Tampa Bay area. It is Miami.
The video is particularly interesting for a number of reasons. First, a lot of what is said about Miami can be said about the Tampa Bay area – especially about talent moving away, about generations of people looking for things to do and not finding them there, and about urban development, though Miami’s development is in full bloom and ours is mostly in full-ish discussion.
There are also distinguishing factors – Miami is an international business center; Miami is an international style/film/art center; there is much more capital flowing about in Miami; Miami has an international draw; Miami has transit and urban neighborhoods (note the plural). All those are key factors to getting a critical mass of multi-disciplinary talent that can interact to create successful start-ups.
The one thing that really caught our attention. Starting at 2:24 of the video there is a comment about how Miami does not mind “disruption.” We assume the comment is about creative disruption – the idea that present systems or ways of doing things can be abruptly changed and that new ideas are tried and create new ways of doing thing and new systems. That is key in the arts, and it is key to innovation. It is key to urban design, and it is key to industrial design. It is also generally lacking in the Tampa Bay area – from the complaints about the scale of the building proposed for the lot near the Straz (see above), to the complaints that always arise every time there is a successful dining/night district – including in downtown, to the reliance on real estate, to the lack of a developed alternative music scene, to the lack of notable new architecture, and on and on.
For all the talk of changing DNA, we do not see too much of it, especially in the political culture.
Without creative disruption (which is a real change of DNA), we will never compete.
List of the Week I
Our first list of the week is the list of cities with the worst traffic. Not surprisingly, LA is worst, followed by Honolulu, San Francisco, Austin, New York, Bridgeport, San Jose, Seattle, DC, and Boston. Yes, most of them have rail, and none are in Florida.
List of the Week II
Our second list of the week is Forbes’ list of Best Cities For Jobs 2013. What makes this list very interesting is that it is created in part by the sprawl advocate from the Daily Beast articles we discussed a few weeks ago. (see here and here).
Why even try to hide it – Florida does not figure on this list nor does it figure on the list of midsize cities or small cities.
The number one city for jobs is San Francisco, followed by Nashville, Salt Lake City, Ft. Worth, Houston, Dallas (not sure why they split Dallas and Ft. Worth – maybe they just wanted more Texas entries), San Jose, Charlotte, Denver, and Austin. (All have rail, though Nashville is only commuter rail, which is ironic for the sprawl advocate.)
Roundup 5-3-2013
Downtown Tampa – Move Slowly
As part of efforts to develop downtown Tampa and the area around it, there are often calls to change the design of various streets. In the last few weeks, we have heard about a two of these roads – Ashley and Nebraska.
—Ashley
First, Ashley:
Ashley Drive will get on-street parking and a more pedestrian-friendly design.
The work is part of a $2.9 million contract with Ajax Paving Industries of Florida LLC, which has been hired to make a variety of pedestrian-oriented changes to Tampa’s streets.
* * *Nearly 30,000 vehicles travel that stretch of Ashley every day, according to city traffic counts.
Buckhorn said the city will add parking spaces by squeezing the existing lanes, not removing lanes.
Setting aside that InVision Tampa was a report by a consultant, not the Mayor, what is the purpose of these changes?
We are for making downtown more walkable. We also think that not removing lanes, which had been proposed in the past, is a good thing.
On the other hand, among other things, downtown is a business district that is supposed to draw workers from all over the area. As we have said before, InVision Tampa’s ideas have an odd proclivity for working to make it difficult to get into downtown from all areas other than South Tampa. As evidenced by the recent postponement of a planned office building in the downtown due to lack of demand, downtown already suffers from a weakness as a regional business draw. We doubt that making it harder to get around downtown from the interstate will help make downtown a viable location for regional business and entertainment facilities (like Channelside or a baseball stadium).
Additionally, other cities have multiple lanes and no on street parking but do not seem to inhibit the cities through which they run. Just a few examples – and we do not consider them necessarily ideal streetscapes: Michigan Avenue in Chicago, Brickell in Miami (though it is not a huge pedestrian area, yet) or Boylston in Boston (has parking, but is also one way – which apparently is a no-no these days) So why can’t we do that? Could it be the lack of non-bus transit alternatives to get people around?
The point is this: yes, downtown should be more walkable. However, there needs to be ways to get in and out of downtown from places other than South Tampa. The general idea of walkability is good, but the execution seems misplaced.
Downtown streets are just not that intimidating (As shown by the people sitting at outside at restaurants on Ashley or crossing Ashley to get to Curtis Hixon Park.) – downtown’s lack of proper urban designs (and its multiple surface parking lots) is much more harmful. Downtown is not just a neighborhood or South Tampa’s front yard. If people cannot get in and out of downtown, it will lose even more to Westshore and other areas.
— Nebraska
In truth, making Ashley – one of the gateways to downtown from the north (and east and west) – slower might make sense if there were good transit alternatives and good road alternatives. For roads there is Tampa/Florida and Nebraska. However, now the City is planning further changes to Nebraska Avenue, which has already been narrowed from four lanes to two (with a turn lane).
Between 14,000 and 16,000 cars each day travel Nebraska, according to the Florida Department of Transportation. The street is a major link between downtown and neighborhoods like V.M. Ybor and Southeast Seminole Heights.
* * *
First, once again, Nebraska definitely could be a nicer street. We also applaud the attempt to get input about the road from the public, though it is questionable how many people commuters will go to a meeting in Ybor City.
However, as we said, Nebraska was narrowed a few years ago (and made “bike friendly,” which was supposed to spark a renaissance. Apparently that didn’t work. So what are the ideas? You can see some basics, most of which are fine, in an eight page pdf on the city website. But then there is this, which goes to “taming” Nebraska:
Trees are fine, but we have an issue with the general goal. Some roads are not supposed to be quaint. This is not Cedar Key or Micanopy. This is the middle of the city, and, as the article says, Nebraska is a major connection to the north. Some roads are necessarily major roads. And the speed limit on Nebraska where it is one lane in each direction is 35. (see here and here) Continually making Nebraska harder to drive on is not a solution. Additionally, even if Metro Rapid is a success (which we hope it is) that will just lead to more buses on the road, and nothing says café dining like streams of buses.
As actually pointed out in the eight page pdf, what would make Nebraska nicer is having nicer things on Nebraska, like wider sidewalks, pedestrian friendly buildings, and better developments. (And how about not putting drainage ditches touching the sidewalk)
What is needed is economic development, real transit, and a proper code. It is not possible to have simultaneously every road be a quiet, small town street and have a vibrant downtown, especially when you do not have real transit. Where is the traffic supposed to go? If you choke access too much, you choke downtown.
— Conclusion
The real problem is that all this is putting the cart before the horse. It is not a part of a well thought-out transportation system that includes real transit. Without that, there is no way to offset changes to traffic patterns, and the changes are more likely to create more bottlenecks and congestion, which is counterproductive.
We have to remember that the goal is to build a city, not just a cluster of Mt. Doras (as nice as Mt. Dora may be). And real cities require real transit.
Channelside – What is It?
There was a big flurry of news about a new group looking to take over the Channelside complex.
If approved by political leaders and financial institutions involved, Liberty Group and Convergent Capital Partners would together begin a dramatic re-organization of the government-backed complex, with renovations possibly starting this autumn.
* * *
Ok, so they want to buy at below market price and make “significant changes.” Before anyone signs off on another plan for Channelside, what are the changes?
Ok, some office space and maybe a hotel, though we are not clear exactly where any of that will go. And they want “fast-casual” dining (so a Chipotle or reasonable facsimile thereof). And they want to appeal to many demographics – who doesn’t? In sum, we really don’t know much. (And what is a “life-style” center anyway? Is that the modern “festival marketplace”?)
This is all rather vague. As made clear from the idea of getting local input, it seems there is no full plan, aside from asking for public money:
Because we do not know what the plan is, we can’t really judge it. However, we are not sold on what we have heard.
The truth is that the Channelside complex was built for a different time. When it was built, there were not very many people living nearby; now there is a growing population. When it was built, people could still access the waterfront from the building; now they cannot. When it was built, people did not have to sit behind Plexiglas to dine facing the water; now they do.
The main feature of the lot is that it is waterfront property. The main feature of the building is that it cuts people off from the water. Any real change to the building needs to address that or it is questionable whether it will work.
It is good that people are making proposals. Maybe they are good, maybe they are not. The Port should be very cautious in approving any deal. The half steps of the past have not worked. It might be better to just tear down the complex and start again.
Masterplanning Westshore
The Westshore Alliance has a released a proposal for redoing the “public space” in the Westshore area.
A presentation of the plan can be found here.
First, we are all for improving the urban environment of the Westshore area. Thanks to both the developers and the City, for too long Westshore has been a suburban office park in the middle of the city. (If they screen parking lots, they are going to hide the first floor of almost every building.)
Of course, that is the major problem with this plan. Regardless of streetscaping, the fact remains that the buildings in the Westshore area are suburban buildings, and there is really no evidence of that changing (see here and the Container Store). We are all for making the sidewalks shaded and wider, but that will not get people to walk if the buildings are not built for pedestrians. That is up to the developers, and they have shown little interest so far. And then there is this:
“We don’t want cars going 40 and 50 mph down West Shore,” he said.
Again with making it harder to get around. What would you have the cars do, 30 mph? In our experience one thing pedestrians like even less than cars moving by at 40 mph (which is really not a big deal) is breathing the fumes from thousands of cars stuck in gridlocked traffic. Quite frankly, if there are good sidewalks that are buffered from the street by landscaping with something for the pedestrians to do (see here) – as opposed to little ribbons right next to the road adjacent to parking lots (see here and here) – people will walk. Moreover, if a circulator bus is stuck in slow traffic, it will become useless for getting people to malls and restaurants for lunch.
Now for a couple specific issues. Look at this picture, which can also be found at page 15 of the pdf (another angle is on page 17):
This is a rendering of a proposed park around the International Plaza retention pond on Boy Scout Boulevard. While a pedestrian bridge over Boy Scout may be a good idea, we see no reason to spend money on a “park” sandwiched between a large surface parking lot and six lane road and smacked against a retention pond. Who is going to use this “park” space, especially in the summer?
In addition, notice the large teal-ish and yellow swirls on the pavement of Boy Scout. As shown on page 20 of the pdf, that is not just an artistic flourish for the rendering; it is actually a proposal to color the street. We are all for better streetscaping (though we do not think it is a panacea), but painting the street is just silly. (As anyone who has observed the fake brick crosswalks painted all over Tampa become blackened by traffic over the years will know).
So how much would all this cost?
We give them credit for trying to keep costs down and consider alternative funding. (Though the cost would be even less if the swirly street paintings and retention park were removed.)
The bottom line is this – upgrading the streetscaping is fine. We have no objection. However, having nice streetscapes for people to look at as they sit in traffic trying to get to the malls and back is not making an area walkable or urban. We find it hard to get too excited about this plan when there is no evidence that anything built in Westshore will actually be built in a walkable way. When pedestrian friendly, urban buildings are actually built, we will get excited. Moreover, it makes no sense to make it even harder to get around the area by slowing down traffic on most of the major arteries – on Kennedy and Westshore it can already be slow enough and the speed limit on Lois is already 35. And we have no interest in ideas like the park and painting the street.
The only way to make Westshore truly walkable is to build the buildings in a walkable way. Otherwise, this risks being window-dressing.
CIT – The Well is Dry
It seems that the fiscally conservative Hillsborough County Commission has basically spent all the Community Investment Tax money.
Oops. So how did this happen?
Basically, the County Commission simply postponed facing reality so they would not have to talk about taxes. (We are sure that putting their interest in getting reelected had nothing to do with it.)
The real question is that if we have an $8 billion dollar infrastructure deficit and no way to pay for it, why is the County Commission giving away millions in subsidies to developers for roads that do not need to be upgraded?
Innovation Stagnation
For all the talk about innovation zones near USF, it seems that everyone is getting hung up with talk. (For the fuller details, the Tribune story is here)
Everyone likes Innovation Destination in principle.
None of this is surprising – especially the idea that streetscaping can cure any ill.
Look. While we are not for odd ideas like a USF stadium replacing the dog track on Bird Street (a USF stadium should be on USF’s campus), it is clear that to really create a zone for “innovation” (whatever that means) around USF one has to deal with the less that prosperous neighborhood around USF. Moreover, there are office parks near enough to USF to not require anyone to locate in the “innovation” zone. You have to give them a reason to go to suitcase city.
As we noted last year:
The area is not empty, it is run down. Any plan has to address these issues.
And one last thing – why was this area never planned/planned in such a bad way in the first place?
Apparently no one has answered these questions.
Why not come up with an innovative idea to fix the innovation zone and help the people in the area at the same time (and streetscaping is not innovation). Isn’t that the kind of thing that major research institutions should do?
TIA – Back to Holguin
TIA announced, among new domestic flights, flights to Holguin, Cuba, are resuming seasonally.
“Our operators, they understand the market so much better now,” Lopano said.
Not bad. We would like flights through the whole year, but in a developing and politically charged market like Cuba, it is perfectly understandable. Though it is notable that:
Excellent. And there is this:
Now we need more European and Latin American flights, as well as to the Pacific Coast.
Economic Development – The Germans Are Coming, At Least for a Visit
Last week it was announced that:
Now, over the next 60 days, eight of those companies have agreed to come for a site visit.
It is all positive news, especially the bit about the HQ. Hopefully it will bear fruit, which will be the true measure of success. This is the kind of effort of which we need much more.
List of the Week I
Our first list this week is the Fast Company list of best states (and districts) for innovation.
Florida is number one, followed by Texas, Maryland, Arizona, Alaska, California, Colorado, New York, New Jersey, and Washington, D.C. You can see why they say Florida is the best here. It is nice to be first, but we are a little dubious.
List of the Week II
Our second list of the week seems to tie into the first. It is nerdwallet.com’s best cities to start a business. (Reading through the criteria, it seems that success of the business is not particularly relevant.) Atlanta is first, then Raleigh, Austin, Tulsa, OKC, Tampa, Seattle, Minneapolis, Houston, and Omaha.
List of the Week III
Our third list this week seems to contradict our first two, at least as related to us. It is Bloomberg’s Top 12 boomtowns (we have no idea why they chose 12).
Austin is first, followed by New Orleans, Raleigh, San Antonio, Houston, DC, OKC, Nashville, Portland, Charlotte, Dallas, and San Jose. Florida is shut out.
It is interesting that this week, Tampa (and Florida) made an appearance. That is positive. However, in contrast to places like Raleigh, Austin, Charlotte and Houston that show up on almost every list, we still have a long way to go.
Roundup 4-19-2013
Please note that there will be no Roundup next week.
Regionalism – Business Takes the Lead
We have often noted that the Tampa Bay area needs to learn to act (and think) more regionally. Unfortunately, political leadership in that vein is usually lacking. (See HART/PSTA or the Rays). However, there are other kinds of leadership:
Exactly. The world sees us as one area. If we cannot get our act together, they will just see us as an area that can’t get its act together. Business leaders can see that and have an incentive to act because the market (for sales and labor) does not really care about political boundaries. Hopefully, the business cooperation can get the political leaders to also act cooperatively.
Of course, from some of the comments, it is clear that this is still a new process:
It is ok, but it is less productive. On the other hand, at least there is an effort underway, which is best summed up by this:
Yup. But it is a start. If you put one foot in front of the other, soon you’ll be walking ‘cross the floor.
Port – What exactly?
This week at the Port:
Ok. That makes sense. What else?
We have no objection to dredging the channel and we understand the bureaucratic problems with it. (The Port Director’s thoughts were reported in the Miami Herald. )
However, what exactly is the plan and how will it keep us competitive in the post-Panamax era? What is the real plan?
Urban v Sprawl – Cont.
A couple of weeks ago we discussed an article in the Daily Beast regarding the debate between advocates of the “creative class” (we actually favor the idea of “knowledge based industry” to the idea of “creative class”) and those of “sprawl” as economic models.
We pointed out that a diverse economy with diverse lifestyle choices is the best model for a metro area. We also pointed out that the advocate of sprawl actually made the case for our position, rather than sprawl. This week the sprawl advocate, in an article which focused on Houston, made our argument even more clearly.
In other words, Houston is developing as a city. Yes, the suburbs are growing, but so is the urban part of the city – especially urban amenities. Moreover, even though the sprawl advocate does not approve, booming Houston (his model for growth) is rapidly expanding its rail system. (And note this interesting idea of having HOV lanes which, if you are a single driver, you pay a toll to use. To our eye that makes more sense than Lexus lanes. Are you listening FDOT?)) Moreover, in the list of fastest growing cities cited by the sprawl advocate (see here) 12 of the cities have rail (many expanding), a thirteenth (Las Vegas) sort of does and is considering building real rail, two other have commuter rail, three (other than us) are considering rail while another sort of is. Then there is the Tampa Bay area – which is considering rail in part.
Once again – a key fact is the diversity of the economy of a place like Houston with oil, the port, biomed, education, old money, and on and on. Moreover, there is great and growing diversity in lifestyles that allows a city like Houston to draw strongly from all segments of the potential workforce and provide them jobs and al lifestyle they can appreciate.
(And, as an aside, there is one other point – just because something is suburban – the article mentions 20 miles from downtown – does not mean it has to be built in a sprawling, unwalkable way. (It is just that the government does not care.) There is a certain latitude in how developments are built. Unfortunately, the Tampa Bay area has had a hard time realizing that.)
We find all this a bit amusing because (and we are still trying to find the articles in the archive but we remember it well) going back to the 1980’s Tampa and the Tampa Bay area has looked to Houston as model for our growth. What did we miss?
Economic Development – DTCC
We received news this week that:
We can’t break down the insurance and bonus value, but rough (and we admit it is rough) math gives you about $25,000,000 in wages/bonuses/insurance created by the new jobs. Interestingly:
If you look at the numbers, the ratio of total payroll to total incentives is roughly equivalent to the Estuary/Bass Pro Shops deal, assuming everyone gets hired at the Estuary and everyone gets hired at DTCC. ($4 million for a $25 million payroll versus $6.25 million for a $36 million payroll.) Of course, the Estuary/Bass Pro Shops deal was all local taxpayer money and there were no guarantees that anything other than the Bass Pro Shops would be built (or jobs created) while DTCC was only $468,500 in County money and partially contingent on actual job creation. (A much better return on investment for Hillsborough County.) There is also the fact that the original DTCC deal, which also had incentives, attracted more DTCC jobs (and we would venture to guess other related jobs). What will the low wage retail at Bass Pro Shops attract?
Economic Development – Another Deal
There was also news of another deal:
Economic development officials would not disclose the name of the company.
Wednesday’s agenda item is unrelated, the Tampa Hillsborough Economic Development Corp. said.
We do not really have enough details to judge, but from the little we know, it sounds good – especially the 1,215 high wage jobs for $729,000. Unless there is something really odd in the deal, it is almost guaranteed to be a better deal that the Estuary/Bass Pro Shops deal.
Economic Development – Just Because They Like Us
And in a little more news:
And they received no incentives. Nice to hear.
Economic Development – The High Tech/High Wage Multiplier
While we do not have enough detail to fully evaluate the DTCC or the mystery deal, there is also this: During the Estuary/Bass Pro Shops debate we argued numerous times that high wage jobs should be the target for our economic development efforts because they have a much higher multiplier effect on the economy. This week, the Economist had an interesting article about immigration, high tech jobs around the United States (which did not mention Florida, by the way), and the opportunities for cities other than the main tech hubs in the United States. You should read it here.
For our purposes, the key point in the article was the following:
Please note they are not even comparing high tech jobs to low wage retail, they are comparing them to manufacturing jobs. Quite a difference. Additionally, they are saying that high tech jobs have this multiplier to a large degree because of the wages.
In other words, the high wage jobs are the type of jobs that support a Bass Pro Shops by creating customers with money to spend, not with a subsidy.
Given all of the above, hopefully, the Hillsborough County Commissioners revise their view of economic development accordingly.
Real Priorities
As an example of what is wrong with Hillsborough County’s strategy of economic development through real estate subsidies, we saw an article on a proposed Wal-Mart in Lithia.
So the County is considering allowing a big box on a failed road. All the while they are giving taxpayer money to developers to build big box shopping plazas, some of which have not even broken ground.
We have an idea: before handing out subsidies to low wage retail, fix the roads for the people who are already here.
Riverwalk – Moving On
This week:
Johnson Bros. built the Riverwalk segment beneath the Brorein Street bridge that opened last summer.
Moreover:
That is all good. We like the Riverwalk and want it finished. As a City Councilman said:
It may be. Of course, it depends on what else happens around it. There is progress, but it is still tenuous.
South Howard – What is it, What Will It Be?
This week there was an article in the Tribune regarding parking issues in the South Howard area.
We completely understand the complaints about parking (and noise) in the South Howard area. On the other hand, it seems that every time there is a successful entertainment district in Tampa, people complain about noise and parking and rules are put in place that eventually stifle the area. (Ybor had/has noise issues – though not really parking) We admit there are no ready-made solutions at this point.
The real issue is how to create a balance, which is very difficult. The problem is that the way Tampa is laid out, there are not that many areas that people can park, walk around, and bar hop (It could have been done on Kennedy, but that is not really laid out properly right now). Moreover, there is no area designated for this kind of activity, where people know what they are getting into before they move there. We also know transit is not really an option either. And some people just do not want to go to a bar at the mall, and downtown will not draw everyone (anyway, people complained about noise when Channelside was busy. There are complaints about noise in downtown St. Pete.).
The City could build a parking garage, but that is expensive. The area around Hyde Park Village, especially on Swann, could have been like South Howard is now, but aside from the Old Hyde Park Village development, there is not much built around it to support bar hopping.
This perpetual problem is the price to be paid for poor planning and allowing poor development patterns. Hopefully, the City will learn for the future.
We Found Gamera’s Hideout
This week, the first building at Florida Poly was topped out.
When done, it will look like this:
http://www.wtsp.com/investigators/article/307831/34/Times-editorial-calls-for-end-of-Fla-Polytechnic
Oblong, high tech, arching building in a pond. It doesn’t seem practical for an academic building, but it is a great place for a giant flying turtle to hide.
List of the Week
Our list this week goes to economic development. It is the Moneywatch list of Best US Cities to Grow a Business. Austin is first, followed by Boston, Houston, San Jose, Portland (OR), DC, San Francisco, Bridgeport (CT), Salt Lake City, and Raleigh. (Just as an aside: 8 rail systems, one rail connection, and one plan for rail). Florida is shut out.
Makes you wonder.
Roundup 4-12-2013
On Managing and Leadership
Last week, the Aviation Authority Board approved an amendment to the Director’s contract that gave him additional retirement funds. While in our view there is no real argument that examining ways to keep the Director was the right thing, there can be disagreements on whether the final contract was optimal. We are not going to get into the details of that.
More interesting was a comment made by one of the Board members, which really crystallized something we have been saying (we wish we said it this way, frankly):
“I want to see that performance,” Crist said. “Or I will be the first to show you the door.”
That was a really good comment, and not just about the Aviation Authority. The Tampa Bay area has long excelled at having managers. In our politicians, our Port Directors, the old airport Director, many other positions, we often (though not always) have good managers. They balanced budgets and maintained the status quo. (And, yes, they even did a little business development. Though they usually seemed to have excuses of why they only did a little and could do not more.) And this all seeped down into the general political culture. Now, there is something to be said for all that (except the excuses). You need good managers.
On the other hand, one thing we have not seen much of is entrepreneurial leaders – people who can really sell the area, sell its assets, truly grow its economy. (And too often we have been told that something cannot be done and that we must settle for what is “realistic” while other areas go ahead and do what is claimed to be unrealistic here.) In other words, we have lacked real leaders with a comprehensive, forward-looking vision and the ability and political will to actually implement it.
And, as an area, we have become conditioned to having managers in leadership positions, leading to lowered expectations because too often we mistake good managers for good leaders. They are not the same thing. If we were a leading metropolitan area and international city with companies knocking down the door to relocate here and were a hub of world leading industry, managing would be ok. If we had a built out transportation system, managing would be ok. If we were a major hub airport with links across the country and the world and/or with airlines fighting for landing slots, managing would be ok. If our port were a leading container port of which companies were fighting over to get a berth, managing would be ok.
But that is not the case, and just managing is not ok. We need to develop and sell our area and our economy. We need to grow our markets and compete. We need to understand the global nature of modern markets. We need to realize that the economy of the 21st century is not the economy of the end of the 20th century. That is why creating the proper team of leaders with vision who will not settle – and maintaining that team – is so important. (We are getting there, but are not quite there.) Consequently, we need to pay for entrepreneurial leaders to help lead the change. While our market is not used to that and has a hard time dealing with the costs (and even the ideas), it is still the case.
As we said, we are not going to opine about whether the Airport Director’s contract was optimal or not. There is room for argument. But the measure of the contract is not what a local politician is paid from tax revenue or what other Directors are paid out of tax revenue. The simple fact is that if (and right now it is “if;” hopefully that will change soon) the airport Director succeeds in attracting a couple more international flights, the economic impact will far exceed anything paid to keep him. That is the kind of calculation we need to be making.
The Commissioner was right – now it needs to be applied across the board, including with politicians. We don’t need more rhetoric. We need real vision. We need real implementation. We need to see the performance, or people, including politicians, need to see the door. That is a real change of DNA.
Economic Development – Some Good, Some Reality Check
Somewhat coincidentally, there was news this week of a new trade mission:
Good. We have no problem with trade missions, provided they are properly targeted. We wish them success. (It is also notable to see the symbiosis between air [and sea] connections and the ability to market the area.) Of course, in line with the Commissioner’s comment above, the results (over time) will be the key to determining whether it was worthwhile.
In the meantime, we noticed this, related to the Mayor’s “not playing second fiddle to Miami” comment:
First, it indicates the importance of Brazil to the Florida economy and need to fully develop ties between the Tampa Bay area and Brazil.
The other thing it shows, especially the number of Brazilians coming to Florida and the fact that Brazilians are the biggest foreign visitors to Miami, is how far back the Tampa Bay area, which does not even have a flight to Brazil, is behind Miami in links to Latin America and how much work is needed. (And don’t forget the annual major conference on Latin America taking place in Miami. What do we have?)
And all this is ok to note. Wanting to aggressively pursue the Latin American market (and other markets) is the proper position. However, the strategy to do that has to be based on a realistic assessment of the present situation and calculating the steps necessary to get to the goal. How else can you formulate an effective plan?
And in another development, the Business Journal told us this about health care (which we have pointed out a number of times):
Can Tampa Bay be a center of excellence for the health care industry?
Clearly. (And lack of clustering does not just inhibit recognition – it harms marketing to new companies and developing a critical mass, which may be why clusters get recognition.)
This area has much potential, but there needs to be vision and political will, as well as coordination. It also requires not settling.
All this just shows how much entrepreneurial leadership we need.
Port – Where are We
There was an interesting item from the Business Journal this week about the port. It referred to a Colliers report on ports in the U.S.
Not really great marketing material for Tampa. So let’s look at what the report says. The first thing is that Tampa only gets mentions in lists. First, on page 7, there is a chart of Port Readiness for Post-Panamax ships. Of the 18 ports (including Houston, Mobile, and four in Florida) listed, only 3 were taking no steps to get ready for Post-Panamax ships, and one was due to labor issues. The other two were New Orleans and Tampa.
There is another chart on page 7: NORTH AMERICAN PORT TEU CONTAINER VOLUME UPDATE. It lists 18 ports with the number of containers they handle. Only two listed ports do not have a number given. Instead the chart lists them as: “N/A – A cruise & bulk cargo port.” Not surprisingly, these two are New Orleans and Tampa.
In a section (on page 11) trying to determine where industrial real estate will be most in demand the report says:
In other words, while Tampa’s port/rail connection is a good thing, many of the ports near us have connections, too.
We realize that there is a new Port Director (and he came from Jacksonville, which, based on this report, appears ahead of Tampa in planning for the future). We also realize that there are constraints in Tampa – the Skyway, the channel. The question is what is the real vision and plan. Serving Central Florida is fine, but other ports can do that, too. And partnering with Mobile and Houston is fine, but both are better prepared for large ships and an increase in traffic. What will we do to overcome our constraints and lack of preparedness?
MacDill Perimeter
One issue that usually flies under the radar is the encroachment of development on MacDill AFB and the subsequent noise complaints that come with that development. Not surprisingly, those complaints can grow quite tiresome, particularly because the base has been there far longer than most of the people living nearby (it is not like they did not know there would be noise if they lived near the base).
We are not going to speak to specific parcels of land right now, but this issue really should be addressed. MacDill is key to this area, and it needs to be protected.
Aquariums for Everyone
We learned this week that the local aquariums are now looking to work together.
It is good that the aquariums are working together. That is much better than working against each other.
On the other hand, while we may be wrong, we have a hard time believing that having numerous smaller aquariums is better than having one major aquarium. While we like aquariums, we just tend to believe that there are a limited number of people who will visit more than one aquarium on vacation.
If Clearwater is determined to build their own aquarium, it is better that the facilities cooperate, but it still seems counterproductive to us.
Subsidy Update
This week we learned that one of the projects which was used as precedent for the Estuary/Bass Pro Shops deal – Southshore Commons – still has not broken ground.
Guegold said there is no timetable for the start of construction on Southshore Commons.
Really. That is odd because:
The logical next step is giving all those people something to do on a Saturday night.
With all that demand, what is the problem?
We have no doubt that something will get built eventually, though it likely will still be the sprawled shopping plaza originally envisioned.
The real question is whether this stalled project really needed or deserved a taxpayer subsidy.
Housing Market – A Mix
There was conflicting news regarding the housing market this week. First, house sales a way up:
That is a good thing. It is not exactly clear from the article how many of those sales are by investors who are going to rent out the houses, but, nevertheless, good.
On the other hand:
Quite a mixed message.
Rays Update
There was an interesting article in the Tribune this week about how some funding sources for a new Rays stadium in Pinellas County may dry up. You can read the whole thing here. This really sums it up:
“It means the Rays will do everything they can to get out of Pinellas County,” he said.
Maybe the funding issue (and the fact that he has real opposition in his quest to be reelected) will finally force the Mayor of St. Pete to deal with reality, which may be happening.
List of the Week
Our list this week is the Business Insider list of Best Urban (ed. loosely applied) Cities to Retire. Miami is number 1, followed by El Paso, Jacksonville, Tampa, Memphis, OKC, San Antonio, Louisville, Tucson, and Nashville.
Apparently, some things do not change.
Roundup 4-5-2013
How Many Things Can You Jam Into a Highway Median – Part I
This week, despite the recently announced countywide talks on transportation, the piecemeal approach to transportation ideas and seemingly unquestioning coverage continued. The Expressway Authority and HART introduced us to “bus toll lanes.” (You can see the report here)
(Yes, imagine . . . a premium bus.) In other words, lanes would be added that are both variable rate toll lanes – “Lexus lanes” – and a route for express buses. Setting aside our concern over the uncapped cost to drivers of “Lexus lanes,” it is an interesting idea, though we see one immediate issue – where will the buses stop? (Or, to say it another way, does this idea even have a purpose in the greater scheme of getting people around the Tampa Bay area?) We have previously reported on plans for brt in the interstate median. If their route is a “Lexus lane” in the interstate median, where are the stops going to be and how much space will they take from the “Lexus lanes”? (If the buses have to get off the interstate to stop and then get back on, they will not be express or brt buses.)
So where would these routes be?
In other words, no one is willing to actually commit to any idea, but . . . .
And let’s consider one idea: Dale Mabry. How exactly are you going to build a “Lexus lane” on Dale Mabry? Well, this is how the report (see here) portrays it:
Setting aside the risk of drowning all the drivers in summer rain storms, how many lanes are they planning to take away from normal traffic on Dale Mabry (see rendering on the right above ? And overpasses all the way down Dale Mabry? And what about people who want to turn left into one of the multitude of sprawling establishments along Dale Mabry? (Good luck getting the businesses to go along with this idea.)
Also interesting is that the calculations in the report are all for an imaginary city – why not make them for an actual city? (Not to mention that the report speaks of transit oriented developments – but what development is going to occur with buses zipping by in “Lexus lanes” without a place to stop?)
We are all for looking at new ideas and alternative funding solutions for transportation. Maybe this idea would work in some contexts. In fact, the idea of letting express buses drive in the “Lexus lane” seems kind of obvious, like high priced, tolled HOV lanes. However, this concept hardly rates the obligatory breathless comments like this:
But setting that aside for the moment, the biggest problem is that there is no explanation of how this idea fits into a comprehensive plan, how it helps or hurts other plans, how it would work with anything done in Pinellas, how the bus routes would work, how it fits with the MPO’s ideas, how it fits with the Mayor of Tampa’s hidden ideas, and if anyone would ride it. Nevertheless, it is portrayed as a potential game changer. In other words, business as usual.
How Many Things Can You Jam Into a Highway Median – Part II
Continuing the theme of disjointed planning, enter FDOT:
These are the mentioned potential locations:

From the Times – click on map for article
Caption: SITE A: Westshore Plaza north parking garage: It’s right next to the interstate and could redefine the mall. But the mall garage would have to come down and it’s the furthest from the platform, making it expensive. SITE C: Charley’s Steakhouse: The parcel at 4444 W Cypress St. is the closest to the interstate and would be the shortest distance to the platform. That makes it more cost-effective, but its small footprint is bad for expansion. SITE D: Jefferson High School: The south parking lot offers 10 L-shaped acres that are close to the platform. But it’s a school that must be secured from the nearby station. FDOT also would have to build the students a new garage of their own. SITE S: Trask and Cypress Streets Parking Garages: It has good access for motorists and is near hotels. But it’s far from the platform and FDOT would have to replace lost parking.
Once again, we are all for people thinking and talking about ideas, and we are for a multimodal center. However, we are not for disjointed speculation and, more importantly, this is putting the cart way before the horse. Setting aside some obvious questions (like how would this idea work with “bus toll lanes” and why is there a park and ride garage in the middle of a business district that is likely to be a destination rather than an origination point for people with cars) there are bigger questions -
Since nothing has actually been planned and approved in yet, how does FDOT know that Westshore will be the logical hub of whatever transit system may be built – if one is built? Why decide where to put the “hub” before anyone has decided how, where, and what of the system itself? Why is there an assumption that any system will run through the interstate median – which is not a logical place to have the most effective transit? Why is the “hub” for transit for a major metropolitan area going to be squeezed into a relatively small lot with basically no room for expansion vertically and horizontally as the system develops? If there is ever intercity or commuter rail to Tampa, how will it get to the “hub” (it gets to Miami’s Intermodal Center and is planned to get to anything built in Orlando)?
Frankly, it makes no sense to predetermine the hub of a system that has not even been proposed. But at least we now know why the airport connection mysteriously moved from a logical place – the south end of the airport – to some random spot near the interstate.
TIA – Master Planning
The Hillsborough Aviation authority unanimously approved the new TIA master plan this week.
Change will come quickly. The first phase is set for completion in fall 2017.
“We could sit back and reap the benefits,” Lopano said.
Projected cost of this phase: $841 million. It should be done by fall 2017.
Looks like this:
The new plan is an alternative to an old plan that was not flexible enough to handle new realities without either leaving the airport overcrowded or spending very large sums of money.
You can read more about the possible expansion in the article.
We are all for this master plan. As we have pointed out – when you have one owner a master plan can make sense. We like that the plan takes a staged, conservative approach to expansion while being true to the airport’s original, innovative design concept of limited walking distance and using people movers.
One thing of note:
We are all for the airport being connected to mass transit. In fact, it is necessary. We still question whether the “hub” for all local mass transit should be jammed next to the interstate in Westshore – but that is FDOT, not TIA.
One other point – the fact that the airport plans to connect to the parking garages and transit “hub” in Westshore via the people mover and no one questions it shows how, implicitly through the airport, people in this area understand that rail (fixed guideway, to be more exact) is qualitatively different and more attractive than buses – even premium buses – otherwise the present bus service to the remote parking garages would just be extended to future “hub.”
Urban v Sprawl – The Debate, Sort of
The Times ran an interesting column this week on the debate between the concept of attracting the “creative class” and the concept of focusing on sprawl. (While we have used it on occasion, we do not really like the term “creative class.” We think a better idea is “knowledge-based industry” but that is not the language or concept used in the article.)
Interesting ideas. However, at least for our area, a key point is that only
And not a big part. The rest, and the part that ultimate made policy, were and are wedded exclusively to sprawl and tourism/call-center/real estate model. And we have a brain drain and have problems attracting high-end companies.
The Times column is prompted by an article on the Daily Beast by an advocate of sprawl that takes the “creative class” idea to task after an advocate of the “creative class” idea admitted there were some issues. Many of the criticisms are valid, to a point – though they do not support sprawl as a model of development. One issue is whether the increase in wealth of the “creative class” starts to price others out of the market. (Though we doubt there is a risk of Silicon Valley house prices in the Tampa Bay area. And is that really an argument for low wages?) There is also a question of whether taxpayer investments in museums and other attractions will attract people to places. (They will, but they may not be the optimal investment in certain areas.). On the other hand, probably because the writer is a prophet of sprawl, the article fails to address the urbanization of most of the fast growing, Sunbelt areas it cites in support of its argument and areas like Denver. The crux of the pro-sprawl argument from the Daily Beast is this:
Of course, as we have pointed out, growth percentages can be deceptive, but we’ll go with it. We also question whether there is a trend for less dense cities or whether it is for warmer cities, which, not coincidentally, are becoming denser. And we will admit that the oil sector has been in growth mode. Of course, whether one has oil or not is not a choice, so that is largely irrelevant. For that reason we will ignore Oklahoma City as an example, just as we would ignore a city in North Dakota. And for a variety of reasons – namely no one really wants to imitate it right now – we are ignoring Detroit.
But even setting all that aside, by listing examples of successful cities, the Daily Beast author actually – though probably inadvertently – points out that the successful Sunbelt cities – and the cities that the Tampa Bay area is competing with – are those that have a diverse mix of neighborhoods and are moving toward developing a more urban core. Places like Houston, Dallas, Atlanta and Charlotte have more than just oil or heavy manufacturing. (Though we are all for manufacturing and support trying to develop that sector.) They have hub airports. Dallas, Houston, and Atlanta have numerous universities each. They also have what we consider creative, knowledge-based industries – biomed, technology, etc. . Houston has a biomed hub which rivals either Tampa or St. Pete’s downtown for density (beats em, really) and skylines (it is close).
(We are a bit behind on the bio-med development) Dallas and Atlanta have very diverse economies and Charlotte has banking and technology. (See here and here)
The Daily Beast article also ignores success stories like Pittsburgh, which remade itself into a research center, or Minneapolis.
It is also worth noting that most of those cities have rail (including a stop at said Houston medical cluster) and are expanding it. Most also have (or are in the middle of developing) much more developed urban areas than the Tampa Bay area. In other words, it is not sprawl or the lack of an urban environment that is drawing people. The key to success is either a specialized growth industry (like oil/gas in OKC) or the diversity of economy and lifestyles available in many of those areas.
The real point is this, as the Times columnist says:
Now all we need is a viable mass transit system to knit it all together.
The reality is that a diverse economy and a diversity of living conditions is the most healthy situation. It allows people from various walks of life and industries to live here and enjoy life. Moreover, having a healthy urban core allows people from the suburbs to enjoy urban amenities, even if living in the suburbs serves their day-to-day life conditions better. Between urban and suburban, it is not a winner take all situation – except, historically, in the Tampa Bay area.
The problem in the Tampa Bay area is that our area is lacking economic and development diversity – though we have no lack of sprawl or retail and low paying jobs. The deficit is in the urban aspect and knowledge based and industrial industries. (The recent success of urban development and amenities like Curtis Hixon Park shows the pent up demand for urbanism, but too often this area settles for lesser development.) It is also way behind on transit.
Right now the reality is that, except in the narrowest areas, our local governments, through action or inaction, promote sprawl or sprawl-like conditions. That does not give people the choices they want. That is why we have a brain drain. Frankly, if the Daily Beast author was correct that sprawl is what people really want, we would have no trouble attracting young talent. (And remember that young talent become the business owners and job creators of the future.)
We like the discussion and think it is important, but we think the Times column tries to be a bit too ecumenical. The Tampa Bay area lacks the necessary diversity of lifestyles or industries. Even though there has been some improvement, it started from a deficit of urban environments, industry, and transit and has failed to keep pace with our competitors (not New York or San Francisco, but Charlotte and Austin). Most importantly, despite rhetoric, even now, it is not clear that we even have real buy-in by most local leaders or the will to stop settling.
Built Environment – West Tampa
There was an article in the Tribune about the West Tampa Convention Center.
We have not seen a plan for the Dollar General. Maybe it is more pedestrian friendly than most buildings near this lot. If so, great. But we have our doubts.
So this is the deal – we know it is private property. We also know that the market will dictate what gets built there. However, the market does not dictate all aspects of how whatever goes there will be built. To a large degree, the City does that.
Even though it is a busy little retail area, Columbus east of Himes through West Tampa is not the most attractive road for a variety of reasons. One of those reasons is that the City traditionally has not really cared how anything is built there, even though it has a lot of potential. (It seems like the City is just happy if anything is built there.) The reality is that it would not cost anymore to have a more pedestrian friendly design for most of the buildings on Columbus; it is just that the City did not try to do it. Nor would it price anyone out of the market. It would just make it a nicer area for the people who are there and the City in general. The real question is why not do it. Why settle?
Downtown Tampa – Office Building On Hold
This week, not surprisingly, the proposed office building was put on hold.
He still hopes to break ground by the end of this year, but made no promises Monday.
We have mixed feelings about this. We are not really fans of the 1980’s design of this building, but it would be nice if the office market downtown were stronger. We still think one of the reasons downtown’s market is not stronger is that, unless you are a lawyer going to court, there is little to distinguish downtown’s office buildings from Westshore other than the fact you have to pay for parking downtown.
Coming Out Watch
Eight months after the RNC, we found a Washington Post article (column really) that finally refers to Tampa without the Florida after it, here. Interestingly, the Post article on the Rays opening day game still put the “Fla” after St. Petersburg.
List of the Week
Continuing with the idea of sprawl versus urban (we are not really going to go with creative class) our list this week is Forbes’ List of 15 US Cities Emerging Downtowns. (To be honest, we think some of them have already emerged, but whatever.) Here is how the list is described:
To be honest, we are not sure that this is a ranking more than a highlighting of things being done. However, even if it is just highlighting cities, it is interesting who is chosen to be highlighted. The cities are, in no particular order: Denver, El Paso, Des Moines, Detroit, Louisville, Milwaukee, Cincinnati, Birmingham, Grand Rapids, Pittsburgh, Memphis, Atlanta, Cleveland, Los Angeles, NYC. Like we said, this seems more like a highlight list. Interestingly, Florida is ignored.








