Economy/Economic Development – The Titan That Is MacDill
Downtown – Trump Tower Lot, Step One
Transportation – Another Ferry Idea
International Trade/Economic Development – The County Leads Tampa
Rays – A Little Bit of Truth
How to Really Do Bike Lanes
A Look at Real Transit Oriented Development
List of the Week
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Transportation – TBX Listening Tour
This week, FDOT had a public meeting regarding the TBX variable rate toll lane project – well actually just part of it – and the results were entirely predictable.
We have made no secret of our position that variable rate lanes will not really solve any problem, especially because they are designed specifically to not have people drive in them. Moreover, the entire TBX plan is not coordinated with the as-of-yet nonexistent Go Hillsborough plan – and costs many times more than that idea. To solve our transportation issues we need to actually identify the needs and create comprehensive, coordinated solutions. The TBX is not doing that. Finally, as many commented, if FDOT spent the money it plans to spend on TBX on the actual needs in Hillsborough County, it could fix most, if not all, of them with billions to spare for widening the interstate a reasonable amount – because, yes, the interstates are still not adequate.
And there is one more thing. If FDOT really wants to relieve some traffic in Hillsborough County it needs to connect the Veterans/Suncoast to I-75 in Pasco so that people do not have to drive through Tampa (clogging traffic to downtown and Westshore) to get to Pinellas. The failure to build that road over the decades is one of the biggest transportation failures in this area. Then again, as with so much, that failure really lies at the feet of local officials who killed the connection through Hillsborough and who have not been able to get it done in elsewhere. Unfortunately, those failures leave this area stuck with take-it-or-leave-it ideas from Tallahassee that are rubber stamped by local officials who lack the political will to do what is needed and choose to hide behind FDOT. At least road construction industry will prosper.
92nd out of 106 is quite bad. Low salaries negate many – really all – of the benefits of low costs unless you are one of small number of higher income individuals (like the people who tend to vote to approve TBX).
So, yes, more people are working, which is good. But our economy is nowhere near where it should be – it is not a boom. And the argument that everything in Florida is cheap just doesn’t seem as appealing when so many still struggle to afford it.
Economic Development – Searching for STEM
Speaking of higher paying jobs, there was column in the Times discussing a study by Bloomberg (see here) regarding STEM jobs.
And that’s not all. Let’s look at some other areas you would not think had much STEM: Charlotte (6.8%); OKC (6.2%); Kansas City (6.6%); St. Louis (6.3%); Buffalo ( 5.1%); Rochester, NY (6.9%); Indianapolis (6.8%); Pittsburgh (6.5%); Birmingham (5.2%). If we are doing well, they are doing just as well or better. In other words, our percentage of STEM jobs numbers are nothing great – good for Florida, but not that good (though not awful either).
Now, let’s drill down a little deeper. Not all STEM jobs are the same. STEM can include a number of things from high level programming and research to basically customer service for software companies. Those things obviously have different salaries. They also create different clusters of expertise that lead to different levels of economic development. The higher the level jobs, the more likely they are to generate more high level jobs.
So what kind of jobs forms the biggest group of STEM jobs in the Tampa Bay area? According to the Bloomberg piece (see here) the largest group is computer user support specialist at about 10% of our STEM jobs, with a median salary of $43,430. By contrast, a bit over 10% of Charlotte’s jobs are computer systems analysts with average salary of $88,370. Denver’s biggest group, also around 10%, is software developers with an average salary around $100,000. Kansas City’s biggest group (also around 10%) is also software developers with average incomes around $90,000, though St. Louis, like the Tampa Bay area, has a big group of support specialist with average incomes of $49,610. As you can see, just saying we have STEM jobs does not really say anything.
So the point is this: yes, we are doing well in number of STEM jobs for Florida, but we are not doing that well – certainly not as well as the hype would have you believe. We have to both improve in quantity and quality of STEM jobs. Customer support jobs will not create a high wage economy or a tech cluster. We have made some progress, but there is a very long way to go.
Economic Development – More on Bass Pro Shops
And speaking of economic development and low paying jobs, this week the Times gave us one more reason why the Bass Pro Shops subsidy was a waste of taxpayer money.
Not only is Bass Pro building a store in Sarasota, but now Cabela’s might go into Pasco. Sure, people love Bass Pro Shops, and we hope the Brandon store does well. And it is good to have some more jobs. But holding it out as some sort of tourist destination or major economic development project that deserves taxpayers’ money is silly. And if roads needed to be widened because of the Bass Pro development, there should have been impact fees (really, mobility fees) that covered it. It should not be on the taxpayer.
The fact is that the Bass Pro deal was a mistake. It is indicative of so many mistaken (seemingly back room) policies in this area. There really are no excuses for it or the arguments made in favor of it – which were obviously wrong.
What is really amazing is that the same thing is being said about Cabela’s that was said about Bass Pro:
Of course, Orlando has a Bass Pro and there is a Bass Pro in Orlando on the way to Wesley Chapel, so it is doubtful that anyone would come from Orlando except to get a special deal they cannot get at the Cabela’s website. Not to mention that, if Cabela’s enters the Florida market, it is highly unlikely that they will ignore the Orlando market.
We have nothing against getting Cabela’s – especially if they do not get a subsidy. The real questions, though, is will this area ever learn – can we break the cycle of BS?
Economy/Economic Development – The Titan That Is MacDill
There was a new report on the economic impact of MacDill on the Tampa Bay area.
We all know that MacDill is very important to our area (and the country), and we are very lucky to have it. Sometimes it is good to have a detailed reminder. And the fact is that, if the previously discussed SOCOM program to develop local industry really gets going, the impact will be far greater, including a lot of those truly STEM jobs. We know that there is consensus on protecting MacDill, but this is just one more reminder of why it is so important.
Downtown – Trump Tower Lot, Step One
The unnamed project for the old Trump Tower lot moved slightly forward this week.
We are not sure how likely this project is to actually get built, but this step removes one hurdle. Another question still over this proposal is whether the FAA will allow the proposed height, which is about 30 feet higher than the approved height for the Trump Tower project. In any event, it will be interesting to see.
One thing we did notice was the renderings in the Business Journal article were a little less than inspiring, like this:
From the Business Journal – click on picture for article
Sure, it is basically a line drawing with a very limited palette, but we would like to see a bit more. In any event, we are sure more will be forthcoming if the project moves forward. And maybe some news about whether the height will be allowed.
Transportation – Another Ferry Idea
The last few weeks, the Mayor of St. Pete has been proposing to use some of the money that St. Pete received in the BP settlement for a ferry between downtown St. Pete and downtown Tampa.
First, note that he is just saying that St. Pete will put up some money if others do to, which is a big if (especially given how long it is taking for Hillsborough County to decide about the previously proposed ferry there). Nevertheless, it is an interesting idea.
We understand it will not be profitable, just like roads (if they were profitable, we would not need impact fees or referenda to fix them). There is a question of just how unprofitable it would be and what development it would create. That is not known, but is important.
We like transit. We have nothing against a ferry. However, the one thing that the streetcar in Tampa has shown is that if tourism is the planned basis for the project, you probably should not do it. That is not to say that tourism would not benefit from it. It would, and that is fine. However, if your real motivation for a transit project is tourism rather than serving residents (and business travelers), do not do it. To succeed, transit needs to serve residents and workers. That is really the only way to get enough people to use it on a consistent basis.
So it is an interesting idea, but definitely needs more study. Not to mention actual discussion in Tampa, where there has been silence.
International Trade/Economic Development – The County Leads Tampa
While the Tampa administration has been decidedly lukewarm on the idea of a Cuban consulate in Tampa, apparently the County is not.
It is rare that the County Commission gets out ahead on an issue, but this is apparently one of those cases. And apparently they did not need permission from anyone to actually promote Tampa and Hillsborough County.
Rays – A Little Bit of Truth
Three was an excellent column in the Tribune regarding the whole Rays saga.
That is true. The last mayor wasted his term playing games. The present mayor tried to get a deal only to have the City council play games, like approving a more expensive deal than the Mayor’s and one which the Rays have basically already rejected – as though somehow St. Pete’s leverage is increases rather than decreasing every day. Maybe a new City Council will do something. Maybe not. Only time, hopefully a short amount of time, will tell.
How to Really Do Bike Lanes
URBN Tampa Bay found a really interesting piece about how to actually do a bike lane, so we thought we would also reference it, especially since the bike lanes in the area are either just a bike painted in the middle of a road with a “share the road” sign, just a stripe on a road that no one in their right mind would ever bike on (because traffic is too fast and people cut into the lanes all the time) or are the slightly better but still not very good lanes like on Platt or Cleveland, which are not protected (in fact they invite cars into the lane to get to parking spaces or turn left).
You can go to the article here for a fuller discussion. If we are going to spend the money to actually help people bike, let’s do it right.
A Look at Real Transit Oriented Development
In almost every article regarding MetroRapid there is a comment on transit oriented development. Needless to say, because it is just a better bus, MetroRapid has created basically none. For real transit oriented development to occur, you need a commitment to a specific transit line over a long period of time to get people to commit their money to a development (makes sense). Proponents of most almost-BRT or things like Metro Rapid say their idea is better specifically because it does just the opposite – it can be moved easily. (Some, actually pretty much all, BRT proponents use the example of Cleveland’s Healthline BRT, but anyone who has ridden the Healthline knows that much of the development counted in studies is either downtown or Cleveland Clinic and University Circle development that has pretty much nothing to do with the Healthline – and note that there is a rail stop near University Circle.) But what does transit oriented development really look like?
Well, here are a few examples. First, from Bethesda, MD (see article here)
Before:
From Bethesda Magazine – click on picture for article
After:
From Bethesda Magazine – click on picture for article
And for even more detail, a couple or article from LA showing how areas have been transformed by TID. See here and here.
When you look at all these pictures, what you see is that there is nothing magical about the areas. They were very much like most of our area. It was the investment in proper transit that led to private investment that improved the areas greatly (and raised tax revenue). It could easily happen here, even in suburban areas of Hillsborough. What you need is a commitment to real transit (not just a better bus) and proper planning. There is no mystery.
List of the Week
This week, the lists are embedded in the items above.
We presume you see now why we suggested some better ground level design on the Riverside Residences (fmr Trump Tower). Both of the ‘view corridors’ they highlight as a plus of the project, we have thought they sucked since the first time we saw the site plan.
We presume you see now why we suggested some better ground level design on the Riverside Residences (fmr Trump Tower). Both of the ‘view corridors’ they highlight as a plus of the project, we have thought they sucked since the first time we saw the site plan.